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08/18/2010 - Richmond, VA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Shaka Smart, the head men's basketball coach at Virginia Commonwealth University, received a two-year contract extension on Wednesday.
In his first season on the job, Smart led the Rams to a 27-9 record, one win short of a school record. VCU won the College Basketball Invitational Championship.
"The job Coach Smart and his staff has done in a short period of time is remarkable," VCU athletics director Norwood Teague said. "In just over a year, they've had 27 wins in their first season and done just an unbelievable job on the recruiting trail. We're fortunate to be able to have this group of men leading our program and look forward to many more years together."
<< NASCAR releases 2011 schedules for top three series
Daytona Beach, FL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - NASCAR on Wednesday officially released
its 2011 schedule for all three of its national touring series. As expected,
there are several major changes to next year's schedule, particularly in the
Sprint
<< Patriots reach injury settlement with Holt
Boston, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Patriots have reached an
injury settlement with veteran wide receiver Torry Holt.
The Boston Herald reported Wednesday evening that Holt and the team worked out
a deal where the Patriots
<< Cowboys G Kosier out with MCL injury
Oxnard, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Dallas Cowboys left guard Kyle Kosier will miss
anywhere from 4-to-6 weeks after suffering what is believed to be a strained
medial collateral ligament in his right knee.
Kosier sustained the injury during
<< U.S. to host Poland at Soldier Field
Chicago, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The United States men's national soccer team
will face Poland on Oct. 9 at Soldier Field in Chicago, U.S. Soccer announced
on Wednesday.
"These fixture dates are a fantastic opportunity to have the group
Cardinals release S Rouse >>
Tempe, AZ (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Arizona Cardinals have released safety
Aaron Rouse.
The 26-year-old played in 14 games, eight as a starter, last season for the
New York Giants and compiled 52 tackles and one sack.
He was orig
Pelini says he might relent on media lockdown >>
LINCOLN, Neb. (AP) -Nebraska coach Bo Pelini's hard line with the media on Wednesday morning seemed to be softening by nightfall.Irritated by some media members' reporting methods, Pelini announced he was cutting off access to players and coaches fo
Nadal, Djokovic, Federer, Murray reach third round in Cincy >>
Mason, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Top seeds Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic and
last week's Canadian Masters titlist Andy Murray were a trio of second-round
winners Wednesday at the $3 million Western & Southern Financial Group
Mas
UConn backup QB Endres suspended indefinitely >>
Storrs, CT (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Connecticut head football coach Randy Edsall
announced he has indefinitely suspended junior quarterback Cody Endres and
sophomore offensive guard Erik Kuraczea for violating school policy.
Edsall did no
(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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